After 16 years in power, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has been voted out. Peter Magyar, the opposition leader, won a commanding parliamentary majority, ending the era of Europe’s longest-serving prime minister.Â
I’m Guillaume Ptak for The Washington Times in Budapest, where Hungary has just delivered one of the biggest political upsets Europe has seen in years.
Hungary’s electoral system has long been seen as tilted in Mr. Orbán’s favor, through favorable district lines, a media landscape dominated by allies of the government, and deep support in rural areas. But this time, those advantages were overwhelmed by a surge in turnout and by the first opposition challenge in years that truly went national.Â
Official results show the centre-right Tisza party winning 138 seats out of 199 in Parliament. These two further majorities will enable them to amend the constitution and reshape the political system that Mr. Orbán built over the past decade and a half.Â
Turnout was close to 80%, the highest in post-communist Hungarian history. Municipal workers overseeing the vote told me they hadn’t seen such crowds during the previous elections. Yet, hours earlier, the outcome had felt far less certain.
Younger voters I spoke to told me they felt this vote would decide their future, and that it was the last chance, perhaps, to vote Orbán out. Others described it as a choice between the West and the East, between Europe and Russia.Â
The immediate drivers were concrete enough. Inflation, failing public services, corruption allegations, and a growing feeling that Hungary had drifted into isolation within the European Union.
But the election also became a referendum on Mr. Orbán’s broader political model. For years, he had been admired by many under American and European right for his nationalism, his hard line on immigration, and his hostility to progressive cultural politics.Â
At home and across Europe, critics saw something else: eroded democratic checks, weakened media pluralism, and an increasingly warm relationship with Moscow.
The discontent fueled Mr. Magyar’s rise.Â
A former insider from Mr. Orbán’s own political party, he did not run as a liberal trying to defeat conservatism. He ran as a conservative, trying to reclaim the state from a system he said had grown corrupt, exhausted, and way too close to Russia.
The result is already sending shockwaves well beyond Hungary. During his years in office, Mr. Orbán repeatedly clashed with Brussels over rule of law disputes, migration, judicial independence, and media freedom. He also used Hungary’s veto inside the European Union to block or delay key decisions, including Russia-related measures and a 90 billion Euro loan package for Ukraine.Â
Now, Reuters and the Associated Press report that early talks are already underway on unfreezing billions of euros in EU funds that were held back during Mr. Orbán’s rule, and on clearing the path for Hungary to stop obstructing EU support for Ukraine.
Mr. Magyar says he wants to restore ties with the EU and NATO, push anti-corruption reforms, and bring Hungary into closer alignment with the rest of Europe.Â
But dismantling the system built by Viktor Orbán over 16 years will be far harder than winning a single election. Mr. Orbán remains the dominant figure on the Hungarian right, and many of the institutions shaped under his rule are still in place.
Yet, after years in which political change in Hungary seemed almost impossible, Hungarians savored something they had nearly stopped expecting: a peaceful transfer of power.
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