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NATSEC-TECH THURSDAY — March 26, 2026: Every Thursday’s edition of Threat Status highlights the intersection between national security and advanced technology, from artificial intelligence to cyber threats and the battle for global data dominance.

Share the daily Threat Status newsletter and the weekly NatSec-Tech Wrap with friends who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang and Defense and National Security Correspondent John T. Seward.

Russia is reportedly sending drones to Iran, which could be used to hit U.S., Israeli and other Mideast targets.

… The Kremlin denied the allegations raised in a Financial Times report. But if the charges are true, they would indicate that Moscow is returning the favor after Iran supplied Russia with thousands of Shahed drones for its war against Ukraine.

… The U.S. is preparing to resume underground nuclear testing.

… Senior defense industry officials say bureaucratic barriers, not technological challenges, are the biggest hurdles to a fully integrated U.S. missile defense system. 

… A federal judge questioned the Pentagon’s motivation for declaring Anthropic a “supply chain risk” to national security. The two sides are locked in a political and legal battle over how Anthropic’s Claude AI tool should be used by the military.

… Lawmakers of both parties want answers about the Trump administration’s endgame in Iran. 

… President Trump said Iranian negotiators “better get serious” about making a deal

… NASA halted plans to create a moon-orbiting space station and instead wants to build a base on the lunar surface.

… And juries in California and New Mexico found Meta and YouTube liable in two landmark social media addiction trials.

U.S. munitions stockpiles dwindle, but low-cost alternatives are still years away

In this image released by the U.S. Department of Defense, German soldiers assigned to Surface Air and Missile Defense Wing 1, fire the Patriot weapons system at the NATO Missile Firing Installation, in Chania, Greece, on Nov. 8, 2017. Patriot missile systems have long been a hot ticket item for the U.S. and allies in contested areas of the world as a coveted shield against incoming missiles. In Europe, the Middle East and the Pacific, they guard against potential strikes from Iran, Somalia and North Korea. So it was a critical turning point when news broke this week that the U.S. has agreed to send a Patriot missile battery to Ukraine. (Sebastian Apel/U.S. Department of Defense, via AP, File)

It’s been a key subplot to the U.S.-Iran war and one that could reverberate for years. America and its Mideast allies rely heavily on multimillion-dollar missiles to take down cheap Iranian attack drones. That’s led to a concerted effort inside the Pentagon and among defense companies to develop cheaper munitions that can be produced quickly, but those solutions are still years away.

Mr. Seward explains why. Many potential lower-cost munitions are in the research phase, with familiar defense industry names such as Lockheed Martin and up-and-coming industry titans such as Anduril racing to build such capabilities for the Pentagon. But at the same time, the defense industry is dealing with more demand than it can support because the U.S. and its partners are using traditional munitions in huge numbers to counter Iranian attacks.

In fact, some specialists warn that American allies in the Mideast are already rationing their air defenses and making difficult decisions about which assets to protect.

U.S. set to resume underground nuclear tests

A mushroom cloud rises from a test blast at the Nevada Test Site on June 24, 1957. (U.S. Energy Department via AP, File)

A key State Department official told lawmakers this week that the U.S. is preparing to restart underground nuclear tests. If it happens, it would be the first such test since 1992.

National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz has closely tracked this story for months, ever since Mr. Trump ordered his administration to resume nuclear testing in response to significant covert nuclear tests by adversaries China and Russia. Thomas G. DiNanno, under secretary of state for arms control and international security, told Congress that those nations have gained an edge in developing nuclear warheads because of their secretive testing and the American moratorium.

Both the Chinese and the Russians, Mr. DiNanno said, have been conducting tests “at yield.” That term describes underground blasts that produce a significant, self-sustaining nuclear chain reaction and release measurable amounts of explosive energy. Both countries denied conducting those tests.

Podcast exclusive: The links between technology and national security strategy

Vanderbilt University Medical Center in Nashville, Tenn., is pictured on July 16, 2013. Vanderbilt University Medical Center is facing a class action lawsuit for turning over the medical records of its transgender clinic patients to the Tennessee attorney general's office for an ongoing investigation. Two patients sued on Monday, July 24, 2023, in Nashville Chancery Court, saying they were among those who received notice from the hospital that their information was sent to Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey, File)

Technology and American national security strategy can no longer be viewed through separate lenses. The next generation of U.S. leaders needs to be deeply familiar with both and with how they interplay in modern policymaking and the great power competition between America and its adversaries.

On the latest episode of the Threat Status weekly podcast, Daniel Diermeier, the chancellor of Vanderbilt University, makes the case for why colleges and universities need to educate young Americans not just on how new technology works but also the roles it can play in U.S. national security. Vanderbilt and its Institute of National Security have become leaders in that effort. 

Today’s students and tomorrow’s national security and defense leaders, Mr. Diermeier said, “almost need to be bilingual.

“You’re not focusing, on the technology side, on aspects that really don’t make sense from a national security strategy point of view,” he said. “And vice versa, that you’re not having policymakers that are fundamentally ignorant or at least have limited understanding of the current technology and also the technology that’s around the corner.”

Opinion: Defense sector failing to adapt to 21st-century threats

The United States of America military challenges versus Russia and China illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

Are the U.S. military and its defense industry partners failing to adapt quickly enough to match 21st-century threats? The American military campaign in Iran suggests that in some instances the answer is yes, according to Josh Segal, a retired naval intelligence officer, consultant to the Defense Department and member of Iron Gate Capital’s Technical Advisory Board.

In an op-ed for The Washington Times, Mr. Segal lists several instances when Ukraine, for example, seems to have found much more affordable solutions to defeat small attack drones than America’s high-cost strategy of using expensive missiles for the job. That reality, Mr. Segal says, casts a spotlight on a troubling lack of innovation at the pace required for today’s threats.

“In the realm of directed energy, the U.S. is allocating resources to invest in lasers costing $5 million to $10 million to defend against drones. Conversely, Ukraine is deploying a system that reportedly costs $300,000,” he writes. “In a war where cost and speed of innovation may be the deciding factors in victory or de facto defeat, the U.S. defense sector proves itself resistant to change.”

Opinion: U.S. drug price controls could give China an edge in biotech leadership

Pharmaceutical drug price controls and biotech to China illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

The Trump administration’s proposed “most favored nation” policy would tie U.S. drug prices to those in Europe, effectively forcing companies to charge American customers less for their medications. But that policy could have serious unintended consequences that weaken U.S. leadership at the cutting edge of medicine and biotechnology and cede that leadership to China.

“Reducing biotech firms’ revenue would inevitably reduce research-and-development spending, ultimately leading to fewer new therapies, fewer medical advances and fewer biotech jobs created here at home,” writes Brad Zakes, senior vice president of emerging companies and economic affairs at the Biotechnology Innovation Organization.

In a piece for The Times, Mr. Zakes argues the administration should pursue other steps, such as targeting pharmacy benefit managers and other supply chain intermediaries that profit from the current system.

“Trimming middlemen further down to size would free up an enormous amount of money that could be redirected to patients, all without hurting biotech firms’ incentives to pursue promising new lines of research,” he writes.

Threat Status Events Radar

• March 27 — How Ukraine’s Drones and Russia’s Reconnaissance Fit Into the Iran War, Atlantic Council

• March 30 — China’s Economic Slowdown: Risks, Realities and Strategic Implications, Hudson Institute

• March 30 — New Eyes on North Korea: Emerging Scholar Perspectives, Stimson Center

• March 31 — U.S. Navy Fighting Instructions with the Chief of Naval Operations, Center for Strategic and International Studies 

• April 1 — How is the U.S.-Israel War on Iran Impacting Energy and the Global Economy? Chatham House

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If you’ve got questions, Ben Wolfgang and John T. Seward are here to answer them.