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Threat Status for Friday, February 20, 2026. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Editor Guy Taylor.

The State Department on Friday imposed visa restrictions on three Chilean government officials, saying they “carried out activities that compromised critical telecommunications infrastructure and undermined regional security” in the Western Hemisphere.

… The Supreme Court shot down President Trump’s sweeping tariffs on countries across the world, striking a major blow to the centerpiece of the president’s economic agenda.

… Frustration is growing among African leaders over what they describe as a cynical campaign by Russia to recruit African men to fight and die in Ukraine. 

… Mr. Trump on Thursday laid out his vision for a rebuilt Gaza Strip, saying the Mideast is “finally” on the cusp of peace but that Iran remains a sticking point.

… Liz Martin, the managing director and general manager for global defense at Amazon Web Services, explains on the latest Threat Status podcast how “AI and machine learning” are already “being deployed across the entire mission life cycle for defense and national security.”

… Defense and National Security Correspondent John T. Seward is writing first-person “Arctic Notebook” dispatches while on assignment in Alaska covering the U.S. military’s preparation for combat in subzero temperatures.

… Ousted South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was sentenced Thursday to life imprisonment.

… The Trump administration has adopted a new policy demanding refugees go through a new security check after a year in the United States.

… And Mr. Trump says he is ordering the release of documents related to aliens and UFOs.

African leaders sound alarm over Russia’s recruitment of fighters for Ukraine war

In this Thursday, March 22, 2018 file photo, Cameroon President Paul Biya  is seated with Chinese President Xi Jinping as they attend a signing ceremony at the Great Hall Of The People in Beijing. (Lintao Zhang/Pool Photo via AP, File)

African leaders are increasingly condemning what they describe as a cynical campaign by Russia to recruit African men to fight and die in Ukraine. Prominent officials on the continent are pushing Moscow to end deliberately misleading recruiting practices. “I am planning to make a visit to Moscow so that we can emphasize that this is something that needs to be arrested,” Kenyan Foreign Minister Musalia Mudavadi said in a statement this month.

Threat Status Special Correspondent Joseph Hammond examines the situation in a dispatch from South Africa, where President Cyril Ramaphosa recently urged Russian President Vladimir Putin during a bilateral phone call to help return South African citizens fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine.

Ukrainian authorities estimate that at least 1,400 Africans have joined the Russian war effort. Some, particularly men from Cameroon, are seasoned military veterans specifically recruited for their battlefield skills. Others are untrained and often unsuspecting young men who have been forced into military service on behalf of Moscow, including graduate students studying in Russia and irregular migrants who had merely hoped to pass through Russia on their way to Europe.

Podcast: How the Pentagon is using AI today

Here's how the Pentagon is using AI today. File photo credit: Pixels Hunter via Shutterstock.

National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang and Mr. Taylor break down the possibility of major U.S. strikes on Iran on this morning’s episode of the Threat Status podcast. They also examine the Pentagon’s escalating feud with the San Francisco-based artificial intelligence company Anthropic and the ramifications of a secret Chinese underground nuclear test recently revealed by Assistant Secretary of State for Arms Control and Nonproliferation Christopher Yeaw.

Then, Ms. Martin explains in an exclusive interview how “AI and machine learning” are already “being deployed across the entire mission life cycle for defense and national security.

“From planning through execution to post-mission analysis, pre-deployment, AI might optimize your mission planning, integrate real-time environment data, do some diagnostics and calibrate your sensors before you even embark on what your mission might be,” says Ms. Martin. “[During] mission executions [it’s] identifying and recognizing and tracking what you’re doing … if that’s enabling multi-vehicle coordination or processing sensor data. And then when the mission is over, [AI] is actually reviewing the performance of the mission and the data so that you can train and build and improve for the next time.”

Brits reportedly cold on allowing U.S. to hit Iran from key joint bases

This image, released by the U.S. Navy, shows an aerial view of Diego Garcia. (U.S. Navy via AP, File)

Britain won’t allow the Pentagon to use its bases to launch attacks on Iran, according to The Times of London, which reports that the ban includes Diego Garcia, the joint British-American base in the Indian Ocean that has been at the center of a contentious deal for Britain to hand over control of the Chagos Archipelago to Mauritius, a tiny island nation off the coast of East Africa.

Diego Garcia, which is in the center of the Indian Ocean, is among America’s most strategically positioned military outposts. It is nearly equidistant from Africa, the Middle East and Southeast Asia, making it a near-perfect staging area for deep-strike missions.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government reportedly also won’t permit air missions against Iran to be launched from RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire, home of America’s B-52 bomber force in Europe. London’s refusal to grant use of the two bases for missions against Iran is frustrating for Mr. Trump, who took to social media this week to criticize Mr. Starmer’s plan to hand control of the Chagos Archipelago to Mauritius.

Opinion: Iran deal or destruction is Trump's challenge

Helping protesters in Iran illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

Whether through diplomacy or through kinetic strikes, the U.S. will “need to deal with the full scope of Iran’s multifarious threats to the region and beyond,” writes Daniel N. Hoffman, a retired CIA Clandestine Services officer and opinion contributor to Threat Status.

“There is no indication that the protests have the potential to galvanize internal opposition from the military or security services to the point where Iran’s regime security is truly threatened,” Mr. Hoffman writes in an op-ed for The Washington Times. “Therein lies the challenge for the Trump administration as it weighs the risks and benefits of continuing to squeeze Iran’s economy or throwing Iran a financial lifeline in return for a nuclear or perhaps even more comprehensive deal.”

Opinion: Why China suddenly approves of hereditary succession in North Korea

China and North Korea's leader Kim Jong-un's successor Kim Ju-ae illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

The South Korean National Intelligence Service revealed that “North Korean leader Kim Jong-un had selected his 13-year-old daughter, Kim Ju-ae, as his successor,” writes Joseph R. DeTrani, a former associate director of national intelligence and opinion contributor to Threat Status. “Although he is relatively young, in his mid-40s, Mr. Kim reportedly has heart issues, is overweight and likes his liquor.

“North Korea is now aligned with the Russian Federation, with a mutual defense treaty, and is assisting Russia with its war of aggression in Ukraine,” writes Mr. DeTrani in a Times op-ed. “North Korea is also providing Russia with artillery shells, weaponry and ballistic missiles while likely receiving nuclear, missile and satellite assistance from Russia.

“This is what young Kim Ju-ae would inherit if she became North Korea’s supreme leader,” he writes, adding that Chinese President Xi Jinping “must hope that, if this happens, the young leader will look to China, not Russia, for guidance.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Feb. 20 — Nigeria: Country of Particular Concern or Counterterrorism Partner? Hudson Institute

• Feb. 23 — Bangladesh Nationalist Party Returns to Power: Assessing the Results and Implications of Bangladesh’s Elections, Stimson Center

• Feb. 23 — The U.K. Critical Minerals Strategy: Building National Resilience Through Global Political and Commercial Collaboration, Chatham House

• Feb. 23-25 — Warfare Symposium, Air & Space Forces Association

• Feb. 24-25 — National Summit on Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles, American Conference Institute

• Feb. 24 — Assessing the Scope and Impacts of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Military Purges, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Feb. 25 — The International Relations of the Two-State Solution, Middle East Institute

 

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.