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Threat Status for Tuesday, February 3, 2026. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang.

Iran says it will pursue “fair and equitable” negotiations with the U.S. amid President Trump’s demands that Tehran make major concessions on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs.

… The comments from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian suggest that the Islamic republic is making a strategic shift in an effort to cool tensions with the U.S. Trump administration Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is traveling to the region this week.

… Mr. Trump created a critical minerals stockpile to reduce U.S. dependence on China for supplies of cobalt, lithium and other necessary materials.

… The U.S. will lower tariffs on India after that country’s president, Narendra Modi, agreed to cut purchases of Russian oil.

… All immigration personnel operating in the Minneapolis enforcement surge will wear body cameras.

… NASA says it is pushing back the launch date of its Artemis II lunar mission after encountering problems during a rehearsal.

… French prosecutors raided the offices of the social media platform X as part of an investigation into alleged offenses, including the spreading of child sexual abuse images and deepfakes. Authorities want tech billionaire Elon Musk to answer questions as part of the probe.

… Mr. Musk is combining SpaceX and xAI into a single company. An initial public offering is expected later this year.

… And a key State Department adviser said U.S. military strikes against terror groups in Nigeria in December were crucial in the fight for international religious freedom.

Colombian president visits White House as Trump focuses on Latin America

Colombian President Gustavo Petro speaks during the swearing-in ceremony of Gen. William Rincon as the new national police director in Bogota, Colombia, Friday, Oct. 24, 2025. (AP Photo/Ivan Valencia) ** FILE **

Mr. Trump will host Colombian President Gustavo Petro at the White House today and is expected to confront the Latin American leader about his country’s production and export of cocaine. The Trump administration’s aggressive crackdown on both the supply and demand of the illicit drugs — including the military’s targeting of alleged drugboats ferrying narcotics through the Caribbean to the U.S. — seems to have had a significant impact. Data shows that drug overdose deaths in the U.S. dropped by 21% through most of last year.

But Mr. Trump’s meeting with Mr. Petro is significant for reasons other than narcotics trafficking, though that is sure to be a major issue. The White House sit-down comes just a month after a U.S. Special Forces raid captured then-Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and brought him back to the U.S. to face federal narcoterrorism charges. That mission was a clear example of Mr. Trump’s view that the U.S. must exert strong control over its sphere of influence in the Western Hemisphere, including across Latin America.

Mr. Petro has been highly critical of the Maduro raid. One of the biggest questions heading into today’s meeting is whether Mr. Petro will publicly condemn the operation while he’s at the White House.

Court blocks pro-China company from running Panama Canal ports

A cargo ship sails past the Panama Canal's Port of Balboa, managed by CK Hutchison Holdings, in Panama City on March 13, 2025. (AP Photo/Matias Delacroix) **FILE**

The Trump administration wants Latin American governments to push back on growing Chinese influence in the hemisphere. The Panamanian Supreme Court seems to have helped in that effort.

National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz has more details on the ruling by the Supreme Court of Panama that voids a pro-Chinese company’s contracts for running two port facilities at either end of the Panama Canal. It’s a major victory for the U.S. push to secure the waterway as a military transit route for any future conflict with China.

In the ruling, the court said the terms of the contract allowing Hong Kong-based conglomerate C.K. Hutchison Holdings to operate the ports of Balboa on the Pacific coast and Cristobal on the Atlantic end of the canal were unconstitutional. The company will be forced to end its operations at both facilities along the canal. A local subsidiary of the Danish logistics company A.P. Moller-Maersk is expected to temporarily run the facilities.

Podcast exclusive: Mysterious device possibly linked to Havana Syndrome

The U.S. Embassy in Havana, Cuba is seen on Jan. 4, 2023. An array of advanced tests found no brain injuries or degeneration among U.S. diplomats and other government employees who suffer mysterious health problems once dubbed “Havana syndrome,” researchers reported Monday, March 18, 2024. (AP Photo/Ismael Francisco, File)

There are only two possibilities, according to House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Rep. Andrew Garbarino: Either the U.S. wasted $10 million in taxpayer money or the federal government is withholding information about the possible causes of Havana Syndrome.

On the latest episode of the Threat Status weekly podcast, Mr. Garbarino explains why his committee recently sent a letter to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem seeking answers about the government’s reported purchase of a device linked to Havana Syndrome, the mysterious illnesses that have plagued American diplomats and service members serving abroad.

Mr. Garbarino and other lawmakers want to know why the Biden administration reportedly spent at least $10 million in an undercover operation to buy that device and what DHS and the Pentagon might have learned from their testing of it. CNN first reported on the development.

“The conclusion that came out of the Biden administration was … this is not caused by any sort of nefarious piece of equipment,” Mr. Garbarino told Threat Status. “They then spent at least $10 million to buy this piece of equipment that they said was the cause of, possibly, Havana Syndrome. So either they lied to us when they said ‘nothing to see here,’ or they wasted at least $10 million taxpayer dollars on a piece of equipment that wasn’t actually doing anything.”

Trump establishes new critical minerals stockpile

President Donald Trump walks on the South Lawn upon his arrival to the White House, Sunday, Feb. 1, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)

Mr. Trump on Monday announced the creation of Project Vault, a first-of-its-kind mineral stockpile designed to reduce U.S. reliance on China for supplies of cobalt, lithium, gallium and other precious materials that major companies need. The project will get off the ground with $2 billion in private seed money, paired with a $10 billion loan from the Export-Import Bank.

Major companies, including Google, General Motors and Boeing, are expected to join the venture so they can obtain necessary minerals at reliable prices. GM CEO Mary Barra, among others, joined Mr. Trump at Monday’s announcement in the Oval Office.

China dominates the world in the production of critical minerals, including the processing of rare earth elements that help power fighter jets, electronics and other key pieces of 21st-century technology. Mr. Trump likened Project Vault to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve that protects the U.S. against shocks to oil prices and supply. In this instance, the reserve could protect the U.S. and its companies if the supply of critical minerals from China is cut off.

Opinion: China is an adversary, not a competitor

The United States of America versus China illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

When it comes to China, there is a crucial difference between the terms “adversary” and “competitor.” Threat Status contributor Miles Yu argues the latter suggests that Beijing is competing with other global players — mainly the U.S. — in a free market and democratic rules-based system, adhering to rules agreed to by other nations and accepting that other nations can also benefit from economic competition.

“None of these assumptions survives contact with reality,” writes Mr. Yu, director of the China Center at the Hudson Institute and a Threat Status opinion contributor.

Mr. Yu lays out why he believes framing China as simply a competitor is both inaccurate and dangerous. China wants to “normalize authoritarian governance as an alternative to free society and democratic governance,” he writes in an op-ed in The Washington Times. In other words, it wants to tear down the U.S., not just outperform it in a 21st-century economic battle.

“You cannot compete with a regime that blocks your speech, harvests your openness, weaponizes your dependencies and seeks to make your system look obsolete,” Mr. Yu says. “This is not a race for a medal. It is a contest over whether free societies remain free.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Feb. 3 — International Religious Freedom Summit  

• Feb. 3 — Securing Critical Mineral Supply: A Government–Industry Dialogue, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Feb. 4 — Reimagining Mediterranean Security with Greek Minister for National Defense Nikos Dendias, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

• Feb. 6 — How Moscow Manufactured the Myth of Putin’s Inevitable Victory, Atlantic Council

• Feb. 10 — Bluff or Death? How to Assess Nuclear ‘Threats,’ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• Feb. 10 — Assistant Secretary of Defense Michael Cadenazzi on Rebooting America’s Defense Industrial Base, Hudson Institute

• Feb. 11 — ‘The Doom Loop’ and the Future of the Global Order, Brookings Institution

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.