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Threat Status for Monday, February 2, 2026. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Editor Guy Taylor.

Threat Status goes inside the battle over Space Force advocacy.

… Iran’s theocratic regime says it has summoned the top European Union diplomats in Tehran following the EU’s listing of the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard as a terror group.

… Russian officials say they are trying to de-escalate U.S.-Iran tensions, as President Trump demands Tehran make major nuclear concessions.

… Russian presidential envoy Kirill Dmitriev spent the weekend in Miami holding talks with top Trump advisers.

… U.S., Russian and Ukrainian officials are slated to hold a fresh round of peace talks in Abu Dhabi this week.

… There are reports that Chinese missiles filled with water instead of fuel may have triggered the latest purge of top military generals in Beijing.

… Pakistani security forces say they killed about two dozen militants overnight in raids on a restive southwestern province bordering Afghanistan.

… Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum says she will send humanitarian aid to Cuba this week, after Mr. Trump said he pressed her to halt Mexican oil shipments to the communist island.

… And a commercial flight landed in the Sudanese capital of Khartoum on Sunday, only the second such flight since war broke out in the northeastern African country nearly three years ago.

… Correction: Friday’s Threat Status newsletter incorrectly identified House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Andrew Garbarino.

Exclusive: Inside the battle over Space Force advocacy

In this photo released by the U.S. Air Force, Capt. Ryan Vickers stands for a photo to display his new service tapes after taking his oath of office to transfer from the U.S. Air Force to the U.S. Space Force at Al-Udeid Air Base, Qatar, Sept. 1, 2020. (Staff Sgt. Kayla White/U.S. Air Force via AP, File)

In April 2022, after 76 years in existence, the Air Force Association rebranded itself as the “Air & Space Forces Association,” a move that it said would better reflect its mission to advocate for 21st-century American power not just in the air, but in space as well.

The reaction to that announcement inside the Space Force Association — a separate nonprofit launched in 2019, the same year the U.S. Space Force was founded as a standalone military service — landed somewhere between surprise and incredulity. National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang has a deep dive on the situation. “You’ve got to be f——— kidding me,” one source said, describing the reaction among SFA officials who learned of the AFA name change just days before it was announced.

It’s an example of the complicated and at times tense relationship between the two competing organizations, both of which lay claim to advocating for the Space Force and its Guardians and to being a key liaison between the Pentagon and the powerful defense industry companies seeking to do business in the increasingly vital and financially lucrative space domain. In statements to Mr. Wolfgang, both organizations and their leaders stressed they believe they can work together to advance American space power. But sources familiar with the matter described behind-the-scenes dynamics that at times have bordered on acrimony.

Another high-stakes round of Ukraine-Russia talks set for this week

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks during a joint press conference with Lithuania's President Gitanas Nauseda and Polish President Karol Nawrocki, at the Presidential palace in Vilnius, Lithuania, Sunday, Jan. 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Mindaugas Kulbis)

An American delegation, including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Mr. Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, will take part in a new round of peace talks between Russian and Ukrainian delegations on Wednesday and Thursday in the United Arab Emirates. The talks come amid ongoing Russian strikes on Ukraine’s electrical grid, which have resulted in widespread power outages, and its transportation infrastructure.

A Russian drone strike on the Ukrainian city of Dnipro hit a bus carrying mineworkers and killed 15 people, Ukrainian emergency services said Sunday. The talks slated for this week were briefly postponed over the weekend. But a senior Kremlin official signaled Monday that Moscow will send a delegation to Abu Dhabi. Trump administration officials are hoping for a breakthrough.

Mr. Dmitriev spent the weekend in Miami, holding talks with U.S. officials. A key sticking point in the negotiations is whether Moscow will be allowed to keep eastern Ukrainian territory occupied by Russian forces. Moscow is also demanding possession of other land in Ukraine’s industrial heartland that Russian forces haven’t been able to capture since they invaded in February 2022.

EU calls Iran’s IRGC a terror group similar to ISIS, al Qaeda

In this Feb. 11, 2019, file photo, Iranian Revolutionary Guard members attend a ceremony celebrating the 40th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, at the Azadi, or Freedom, Square in Tehran, Iran. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi) **FILE **

The European Union has designated Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist organization, putting Tehran’s most powerful military branch on the same footing as the Islamic State and al Qaeda. The decision last week came as EU officials issued new sanctions against more than a dozen top Iranian officials as punishment for the Islamic republic’s recent massacre of protesters.

The sanctions coincide with the Trump administration’s increased threats to carry out fresh military strikes on Iran. Mr. Trump has dispatched an armada of forces to the waters near Iran in response to Tehran’s violent suppression of pro-democracy demonstrators. He said the warships, which include the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, are there “just in case” the regime continues killing protesters.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, told a crowd in Tehran on Sunday that the U.S. risks triggering a larger war in the Middle East if American forces carry out strikes. The comments from the 86-year-old cleric mark Tehran’s most dramatic threat in response to the Lincoln strike group’s arrival during recent days to the Arabian Sea. 

Chinese software engineer convicted of stealing AI trade secrets from Google

The Google logo sits on the company's headquarters in Mountain View, Calif., on July 19, 2016. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez) **FILE**

A federal jury in San Francisco convicted a former Google software engineer and Chinese national last week of economic espionage for stealing artificial intelligence secrets from the tech giant. The conviction of Linwei Ding, 38, is the first successful prosecution related to AI theft by China, the Justice Department said Friday.

Ding worked on Google’s network of supercomputing data centers and in 2022 began moving confidential data and trade secrets including more than 2,000 files into a cloud account, according to court papers, which say documents found on Ding’s computer showed he planned to use the stolen information to assist the Chinese government’s development of AI technology.

“The trade secrets contained detailed information about the architecture and functionality of Google’s custom Tensor Processing Unit chips and systems and Google’s Graphics Processing Unit systems, the software that allows the chips to communicate and execute tasks, and the software that orchestrates thousands of chips into a supercomputer capable of training and executing cutting-edge AI workloads,” the DOJ says in a statement.

Opinion: The Kremlin origins of Maduro regime's antisemitism

Russia and Venezuela illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

Most of the “world was confused” when Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s second in command, Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, implicated Israel in Mr. Maduro’s capture, write Jeffrey Scott Shapiro and Gelet Martinez Fragela. They note how Ms. Rodriguez said in a Jan. 3 national address that “the governments of the world are simply shocked that … Venezuela … is the victim and subject of an attack of this nature, which has … a Zionist tint,” and “Zionist undertones.

“These antisemitic narratives first originated across the Atlantic more than a century ago. Fourteen years before the 1917 Russian Revolution, the czarist Russian empire scapegoated Jews by publishing a fabricated text called ‘The Protocols of the Elders of Zion,’” write Mr. Shapiro and Ms. Fragela. “The book was meant to reveal a blueprint written by Jewish leaders aiming to take control [of] the media and banking system, but it was really composed by the czar’s secret police.

“Once the Soviets realized they could use antisemitism to gain support from regional malcontents, they exploited Jew-hatred to gain international allies,” the two write in an op-ed for The Washington Times. “Bridging this gap stoked fear and paranoia, rallying some of the angriest and most ignorant members of their societies.”

Mr. Shapiro is a Washington Times assistant commentary editor. He and Ms. Fragela oversee the Digital News Association’s Latin America Disinformation Tracking Initiative, which identifies Kremlin narratives aimed at Spanish-language audiences.

Threat Status Events Radar

• Feb. 3 — Securing Critical Mineral Supply: A Government–Industry Dialogue, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Feb. 3 — One Month Without Maduro: On-the-Ground Perspectives, Atlantic Council

• Feb. 3 — STARTing Over? Russo-American Arms Control at a Crossroads, Stimson Center

• Feb. 4 — Reimagining Mediterranean Security with Greek Minister for National Defense Nikos Dendias, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

• Feb. 5 — Bluff or Death? How to Assess Nuclear ‘Threats,’ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• Feb. 10 — Assistant Secretary of Defense Michael Cadenazzi on Rebooting America’s Defense Industrial Base, Hudson Institute

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.