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NATSEC-TECH THURSDAY — January 22, 2026: Every Thursday’s edition of Threat Status highlights the intersection between national security and advanced technology, from artificial intelligence to cyber threats and the battle for global data dominance.

Share the daily Threat Status newsletter and the weekly NatSec-Tech Wrap with friends who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondents Ben Wolfgang and John T. Seward.

President Trump says he has secured the framework for a deal on Greenland, prompting him to drop the idea of using military force to seize the island and to cancel his trade threats aimed at Europe.

… Details of the agreement, announced at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, still aren’t clear. But Mr. Trump says it will put the U.S. in a good position “as it pertains to security.” The administration insists it must control Greenland for security reasons and as a key hub for its Golden Dome missile shield. 

… Mr. Trump also met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Davos gathering and unveiled his “Board of Peace.” Other key Trump administration officials were expected to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Thursday.

… U.S. Navy survey ships recently sailed through the Taiwan Strait to gather key data for future underwater drone operations.

… Greece and Israel will collaborate on the development of anti-drone and cybersecurity systems.

… Iran will consider lifting the internet blackout it put in place during recent widespread protests.

… And the Pentagon reportedly wants to set up an Amazon-like marketplace for counter-drone capabilities.

Iran's ICBM arsenal could expand rapidly over next decade

This photo distributed by the North Korean government shows what it says is a test-fire of a Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), at an undisclosed location in North Korea on March 24, 2022.  (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP, File)

Iran’s arsenal of intercontinental ballistic missiles could expand rapidly over the next decade, Defense Intelligence Agency data shows. The single-page graphic made public in support of Mr. Trump’s Golden Dome system says that while Iran currently has no deployed ICBMs, it may have as many as 60 by 2035.

That would put the Islamic republic’s ICBM capabilities ahead of North Korea, which has 10 and is projected to have as many as 50 by 2035, DIA estimates show.

Iran boasts of having the largest and most diverse missile systems in the Middle East, including seven types of short-range ballistic missiles and eight medium-range missile types. Most of those systems have nuclear-capable variants, the DIA said.

But it’s worth noting that the DIA document was issued in May, before an intense Israeli bombing campaign targeting Iranian military and research facilities and before the American airstrikes that hit three key Iranian nuclear sites in June. 

Podcast exclusive: Robotic welding aboard U.S. Navy ships

In this photograph released by the U.S. Navy, an F/A-18 Super Hornet prepares to launch off the flight deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt on July 5, 2024, in the South China Sea. (Seaman Aaron Haro Gonzalez/U.S. Navy via AP) ** FILE **

Robots and artificial intelligence are playing key roles inside the U.S. military. One key example: A leading defense industry company’s use of robotic welding technology to cut repair times and keep human technicians out of dangerous conditions.

On the latest episode of the Threat Status weekly podcast, Steve Pykett, CEO of Fairbanks Morse Defense, explains how his company is leveraging 21st-century technology to aid — not replace — human welders.

“We have an opportunity to shorten the cycle time. We bring to bear, with automation and AI, to not replace that welder because they still need to be there,” he says. “But we can now take what would’ve been a five-week process of manual welding in some of the most arduous conditions, asking a welder to sit inside an engine casing inside a ship, we can now remove that … and take that from a five-week process to a five-day process.”

The company says its robotics program relies on advanced machine learning technology that enables automated weld control, consistent quality and real-time weld fault detection.

Navy gathers data for underwater drone ops in Taiwan Strait

In this photo released by the U.S. Navy The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS John Finn (DDG 113) prepares to come alongside Lewis and Clark-class dry cargo ship Cesar Chavez (T-AKE-14) in the East China Sea, on Jan. 21, 2024. China has accused the U.S. of abusing international law with its military maneuvers in the western Pacific, one day after the American naval destroyer sailed through the politically sensitive Taiwan Strait. (Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Justin Stack/U.S. Navy via AP)

National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz has an inside look at the Navy’s recent deployment of an oceanographic survey ship, along with a guided missile destroyer, through the Taiwan Strait to gather key data for future underwater drone operations

The mission represented the first Navy transit of the Taiwan Strait this year. Naval warfare experts say the inclusion of a survey ship is noteworthy.

Those survey ships are equipped with numerous sensors that collect data to be used for what the military calls “battlespace awareness” and maintaining tactical advantage underwater. Specifically, the ships can aid with seafloor mapping and production of high-resolution 3D maps, information critical for both safe submarine and offensive and defensive unmanned underwater vehicle operations. The ships can measure temperature, salinity and pressure — all pieces of information valuable for tracking Chinese submarines based on how sound travels through water. 

Opinion: It's time to build more nuclear reactors

The United States of America building nuclear plants illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

The time for concept drawings and PowerPoint presentations is over. It’s time to actually build more nuclear reactors.

Nuclear scholars David S. Jonas and R. Budd Haemer make that case in a new op-ed in The Washington Times, arguing that the U.S. cannot risk losing the future of nuclear innovation to rivals China and Russia. Mr. Jonas served as general counsel of the National Nuclear Security Administration and now teaches nuclear nonproliferation law and policy at Georgetown Law School and George Washington University Law, while Mr. Haemer teaches atomic energy law at GW Law.

“Although a handful of advanced nuclear reactor concepts have been moving dirt and bending metal, the U.S. nuclear sector is drowning in ‘academic reactors,’ dazzling concepts that live on PowerPoint slides and glossy investor decks but have not touched steel,” they write. “We can keep chasing academic reactors that promise miracles but deliver nothing, or we can … build practical reactors. If we fail to act, then the future of nuclear innovation will belong to Russia and China.”

One such initiative already underway is the Army’s Janus Program. The program aims to develop next-generation mobile nuclear reactors, some small enough to fit on the backs of trucks. The Army says it will have at least one working reactor on a military base by this summer. 

Opinion: Venezuela, Iran in turmoil without actual regime change

Illustration on the support relationship between Venezuela and Iran by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

There is new leadership in Caracas after the daring U.S. military raid that captured former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and brought him to American shores to face narco-terrorism charges. Thousands of miles away in Iran, widespread protests seemed to have the hardline Islamic regime in Tehran on its heels like never before.

But without full-blown regime change in either country, has anything fundamentally changed? Times national security and foreign affairs columnist Jed Babbin examines that question. He zeroes in on whether new Venezuelan President Delcy Rodriguez will hold elections, open trade with the U.S. and banish American adversaries. 

“It is highly unlikely that she will do any of that,” Mr. Babbin writes. “‘Regime change’ in Venezuela may not have changed much at all.”

In Iran, despite Mr. Trump’s public declaration that the U.S. was ready and willing to help demonstrators, the regime appears to have successfully quelled the uprising with a heavy-handed, bloody crackdown.

“It would have been better for the president to hold his tongue if we weren’t going to help the Iranian people overthrow the ayatollahs,” Mr. Babbin says.

Threat Status Events Radar

• Jan. 22 — Assessing the China-Russia Threat Nexus in Technology and Information Warfare, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

• Jan. 22 — The Arsenal of Freedom Tour and What it Means, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Jan. 27 — Apex Defense Conference 2026, Hudson Institute 

• Jan. 27-28 — Qubits26: Quantum Realized, D-Wave

• Jan. 29 — The World, Rewired – A Geopolitical Outlook for 2026 and Beyond, Stimson Center

• Jan. 29 — Evaluating Progress After Historic Investments in the U.S. Coast Guard, Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation

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