The Pentagon aims to order 30,000 small, expendable drones next month as part of its landmark Drone Dominance Initiative. Conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war have proven the battlefield value of those drones, and Mr. Hegseth has stressed the U.S. cannot be left behind.
But what happens to domestic drone production if there isn’t a major war raging somewhere in the world? Will that same attitude toward massive domestic production continue even during peacetime?
On the latest episode of the Threat Status weekly podcast, Peter Newell, former director of the Army’s Rapid Equipping Force and co-founder of BMNT, explains why he believes dronemakers must find a broader customer base outside of the Pentagon or risk seeing a major downturn in business during periods of relative peace around the world.
“My concern is when there’s no war, and if there’s ever a peaceful resolution to the conflict in Ukraine, the learning over drone warfare is going to drop off at a significant rate because there’s no mass conflict out there where we’re testing and learning and doing things,” he said. “Quite frankly, being at war is the best proving, testing ground for technology there ever is. When we don’t have that demand signal anymore, it’s going to be really hard to defend buying drones in mass.”