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Threat Status for Thursday, January 1, 2026. The Threat Status daily newsletter team is on hiatus Jan. 1-2 in recognition of New Year’s Day. While we’re away, please enjoy some recent highlights from the deep-dive journalism produced by the Threat Status team.

Share this newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Editor Guy Taylor and National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang.

Threat Status exclusive videos

National Security Correspondents John Seward and Bill Gertz break down the key takeaways from the 2025 Reagan Defense Forum.

WATCH: Inside the 2025 Reagan National Defense Forum

National Security Correspondents John T. Seward and Bill Gertz break down the key takeaways from the recent Reagan National Defense Forum, analyzing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s critique of neoconservatives, his comments on Caribbean counter-narcotics strikes and his caution that the Trump administration may be softening its posture toward China.

WATCH (From the archive): How China is outpacing the U.S. in defense industrial production

Seth Jones from the Center for Strategic and International Studies joined the Threat Status Influencers series for a discussion on how and why China’s defense industrial production base is dangerously outpacing that of the United States and what Washington should do to respond. The discussion remains as relevant today as when it was videotaped in 2024. 

PODCAST: Can Hegseth deliver on Pentagon acquisition reform?

Thomas Akers, founder and CEO of the company Zone 5 Technologies, joined the Threat Status weekly podcast for an exclusive interview to examine Mr. Hegseth’s major acquisition reform speech in November and how the speech was received inside the defense industry.

EXCLUSIVE FEATURE: Space combat moves from science fiction to threat as China, Russia outpace U.S.

The notion of actual kinetic warfare in space — perhaps a Chinese attack on some satellites to cripple the U.S. military as the precursor to an invasion of Taiwan — is fueling a high-stakes debate in national security circles over how to best protect valuable assets in orbit from adversaries with increasingly dangerous space capabilities. One of the key conversations is whether the U.S. should pursue offensive weapons or restrict its space-based assets to defensive capabilities.

EXCLUSIVE OPINION: How Trump can exploit the China-Russia fissure

Retired CIA Clandestine Services Officer Daniel N. Hoffman, a Threat Status contributor, argues in a Washington Times op-ed that the Trump administration has a key opportunity as it pushes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal to potentially exploit fissures between Moscow and Beijing and possibly weaken the partnership between those two U.S. adversaries.

See more exclusive Threat Status Influencers videos.

Threat Status Events Radar

• Jan. 8 — Artificial Intelligence, Supply Chains and Trade Resets: The Global Economy in 2026, Atlantic Council

• Jan. 8 — Cosmic Coordination: Space Diplomacy in an Era of Strategic Competition, Atlantic Council

• Jan. 12 — Next Steps for the U.S.-Japan Alliance: Deterrence, Cybersecurity and Indo-Pacific Partnerships, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Jan. 14 — A New Direction for AI and Students: Findings from the Brookings Global Task Force on AI and Education, Brookings Institution

• Jan. 15 — The Future of U.S. Foreign Assistance, Center for a New American Security

• Jan. 15 — 10 Conflicts to Watch in 2026, Chatham House

• Jan. 20 — The Future of Biosafety: Confronting Gain-of-Function Research, The Heritage Foundation

• Jan. 21 — Artificial General Intelligence: America’s Next National Security Frontier, Institute of World Politics

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.