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NATSEC-TECH THURSDAY — October 9, 2025: Every Thursday’s edition of Threat Status highlights the intersection between national security and advanced technology, from artificial intelligence to cyber threats and the battle for global data dominance.

Share the daily Threat Status newsletter and the weekly NatSec-Tech Wrap with friends who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang

The fusion of biotechnology and artificial intelligence is a major national security threat to the U.S., researchers say. A new report from Stanford University’s Hoover Institution warns that massive leaps forward in biomanufacturing mean that soon “anyone, anywhere will gain the capacity to source any toxin or pathogen.”

… And China appears well-positioned to take advantage. Report author Drew Endy, a Stanford professor, tells The Washington Times that Chinese researchers were able to quickly build an emerging biotechnology lab that now employs 2,500 people. By contrast, he says he is struggling “to get funding to onboard a second Ph.D. student this year.”

… China-linked actors are behind a complex cyber espionage campaign targeting diplomats in Southeast Asia, according to Google’s Threat Intelligence Group.

… President Trump said Israel and Hamas have agreed to the first phase of a peace deal. Hamas is expected to release all hostages as soon as this weekend, while Israel will withdraw its troops back to a mutually agreed-upon line. 

… House Speaker Mike Johnson seemed to close the door on a stand-alone bill to ensure active-duty military troops continue to receive pay during the government shutdown.

… The Army is ramping up production of Black Widow drones for short-range reconnaissance missions. 

… Germany may soon give its police the power to shoot down drones in the country’s airspace. 

… And British authorities say the assailant in last week’s synagogue attack pledged allegiance to the Islamic State.

Russia, China-linked hackers use AI to power influence ops, phishing scams

The OpenAI logo appears on a mobile phone in front of a computer screen with random binary data in Boston on March 9, 2023. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer) **FILE**

It’s no secret that foreign hacking groups are increasingly using artificial intelligence to power their operations. But a new report from OpenAI shines a light on just how big a role AI is playing in phishing scams, covert influence operations and other nefarious actions.

Times reporter Vaughn Cockayne dove into the report and summarized its key takeaways. OpenAI said that over just the past 18 months, it has tracked and disrupted more than 40 networks that violated the company’s policies. They include a network with Russian origins that used OpenAI’s ChatGPT to generate prompts that were then fed into another platform to make videos used in a covert influence operation.

And several Chinese-language accounts were banned for their connection to an ongoing phishing campaign. Other accounts linked to China were recorded using OpenAI’s tools to generate ideas for systems that could be used to monitor social media conversations.

Chinese toymaker accused of using robotic toys to spy on kids

A sign stands outside the Federal Trade Commission building, Jan. 28, 2015, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

Allegations of data theft and spying by China or China-linked actors are hardly new. But in this case, the alleged targets were children under 13.

National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz has the details on this story. The Justice Department fined China-based toymaker Apitor Technology Co. Ltd. and accused the company of violating the 1998 Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act through its programmable toy robots.

civil complaint filed last month in federal court in San Francisco stated that Apitor uses an app to operate toys that move and through the Android app secretly collected geolocation data on children under age 13. Under the terms of its agreement with the Justice Department, Apitor neither admitted nor denied the allegations in the complaint. But the company was ordered to stop collecting data on children without first notifying parents and obtaining consent.

Putin ally: Moscow could bomb NATO base if U.S. sends Tomahawks to Ukraine

A Tomahawk cruise missile is fired off the battleship USS Wisconsin toward a target in Iraq, in the Persian Gulf on Jan. 17, 1991. (AP Photo/John McCutcheon, File)

Many analysts say Russia has been testing NATO in recent weeks with its repeated air incursions into alliance airspace. But now top allies to Russian President Vladimir Putin are directly threatening military action against a NATO member if the U.S. follows through on a plan to send long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine.

If that happens, Russian lawmaker Alexey Zhuravlyov said, Poland’s Rzeszow air base would become a legitimate target. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, meanwhile, said any decision by the Trump administration to send Tomahawk missiles to Kyiv would amount to a serious escalation by Washington.

Is an AI investment bubble forming?

An entrance to the Stargate artificial intelligence data center complex in Abilene, Texas on Monday, Sept. 22, 2025. (AP Photo/Matt O'Brien)

The Bank of England warned there could soon be a sharp market correction in the AI sector, which has seen a rapid rise in global stock prices amid the expectation that AI is on the verge of transforming the economy.

But financial conditions could “turn abruptly,” according to International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva. She warned in a speech this week that the unbridled optimism about the potential of AI has been a driving force behind rising stock prices.

Analysts point to several serious warning signs, including that tech stocks now comprise about 40% of the S&P 500, market valuations that appear “stretched” beyond their worth and a major uncertainty about what AI technology will actually look like as it evolves. 

Opinion: To defend against drones, U.S. should take lessons from Israel

Israel’s drone defense innovations illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

Many of the kinds of systems that the U.S. needs to counter the major threats posed by drones have already been produced and battle tested — in Israel.

In a new piece for The Times, retired National Guard Lt. Gen. H. Steven Blum, a former deputy commander of U.S. Northern Command, and Yoni Tobin, a senior policy analyst at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, lay out many of the battlefield innovations seen in Israel that have proven effective at combating small attack drones. 

They include Israel’s Iron Beam laser defense platform, along with major strides in quantum sensing and AI that enable Israeli defensive forces to distinguish the signatures of drones from those of birds.

“The U.S. must take advantage of Israel’s drone defense adaptations and capabilities, forged under fire by near-daily attacks,” they write. “Securing the homeland, overseas bases and global supply chains from drone threats will require learning how partners such as Israel have adapted to such threats and converting those lessons into action.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Oct. 9 — Countering the Axis of Aggressors with Retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster and Retired Gen. Laura Richardson, Foundation for Defense of Democracies

• Oct. 10 — HTK: War and the Modern Battlefield, Center for Strategic and International Studies 

• Oct. 13-15 — AUSA 2025 Annual Meeting & Exposition in Washington, Association of the U.S. Army (AUSA)

• Oct. 15 — Vanguard of Manufacturing: Fortifying U.S. National Security, Hudson Institute

• Oct. 21-22 — Missile Defense Agency Small Business Conference, Tennessee Valley Chapter of the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA)

• Oct. 22 — Europe’s Energy Transition: From Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine to Trump’s ‘Energy Dominance’ Agenda, Brookings Institution

Thanks for reading NatSec-Tech Thursdays from Threat Status. Don’t forget to share it with your friends who can sign up here. And listen to our weekly podcast available here or wherever you get your podcasts.

If you’ve got questions, Ben Wolfgang is here to answer them.