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NATSEC-TECH THURSDAY — September 25, 2025: Every Thursday’s edition of Threat Status highlights the intersection between national security and advanced technology, from artificial intelligence to cyber threats and the battle for global data dominance.

Share the daily Threat Status newsletter and the weekly NatSec-Tech Wrap with friends who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Editor Guy Taylor

Small, first-person view, or FPV, drones have reshaped the reality of war and Threat Status has an in-depth look at how in this exclusive video from the Ukraine-Russia front line.

… Russian warplanes encroached on Alaskan airspace Wednesday, a fresh provocation after President Trump urged NATO members in Europe to respond with force to such incursions.

… New satellite imagery suggests Iran carried out an undeclared missile test.

… Two cybercriminal groups known for sophisticated hacking operations globally are key suspects in the ransomware attack that disrupted Nevada government computer operations.

… The Trump administration memorandum sent to all federal agencies this week pushes for more aggressive development of advanced technologies, including AI and quantum communications.

… Does China have the edge in space and hypersonics? Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies’ J. Michael Dahm explores it in a video discussion with Air & Space Forces Association’s Editorial Director Tobias Naegele.

… AI-powered surveillance tech from the Scotland-based firm Zelim will be part of REMPUS 2025, NATO’s largest naval exercise.

… And Apple says the EU’s digital competition rulebook is delaying Europeans’ access to the new “live translation” feature for AirPods.

Russian warplanes fly near Alaska a day after Trump's warning to Moscow

In this Sept. 23, 2024, image taken from video, a U.S. Air Force F-16 operating under the direction of North American Aerospace Defense Command, conducts a routine intercept of a Russian Tu-95 aircraft in the Alaskan Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) when NORAD said a Russian Su-35 aircraft conducted an unsafe maneuver directed at the F-16. (Department of Defense via AP) ** FILE **

The U.S. scrambled fighter jets Wednesday to track and deter four Russian military aircraft flying near Alaska. The Russian Tu-95s and Su-35s flew in international airspace but entered the Alaskan Air Defense Identification Zone, the North American Aerospace Defense Command, or NORAD, said in a statement.

Russian aircraft regularly breach that zone. NORAD officials stressed that the presence of Russian warplanes there is not seen as a threat to the U.S. or Canada. But the incident comes on the heels of multiple instances in which Russian aircraft and drones are accused of violating sovereign NATO airspace over Europe.

The encounter also occurred a day after Mr. Trump made global headlines by asserting during a meeting in New York on Tuesday with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that NATO members should shoot down Russian jets engaged in the war on Ukraine if those jets enter an alliance member’s airspace.

Inside Ukraine’s drone battle: Exclusive video from besieged Kostiantynivka’s front lines

Washington Times special correspondent Guillaume Ptak and the Threat Status digital team have released an exclusive video from the front line of the Russia-Ukraine war that goes inside the increasing reliance by both sides on small FPV drones.

The video features sobering footage from the battered Ukrainian industrial town of Kostiantynivka in the Donbas heartland. Ukraine is currently producing about 200,000 FPV drones per month, with 4.5 million planned for 2025. Russia’s production capacity is seen to be dramatically more robust.

U.S. adversaries, including North Korea, Iran and organized criminal networks, are studying the way the drones are impacting the war, while learning how to build and deploy them in ways that could reshape global conflict on the near horizon.

Can the U.S. and China avoid escalation in space?

In this photo released by the U.S. Air Force, Capt. Ryan Vickers stands for a photo to display his new service tapes after taking his oath of office to transfer from the U.S. Air Force to the U.S. Space Force at Al-Udeid Air Base, Qatar, Sept. 1, 2020. (Staff Sgt. Kayla White/U.S. Air Force via AP, File)

The risk of a conflict in space involving China is a major worry because tests, incidents or other events could quickly escalate to a major debris-causing fight that would severely disrupt the usability of space, according to U.S. Space Force intelligence officials who spoke at this week’s Air, Space & Cyber Conference.

China has deployed multiple space weapons in recent years and has conducted a missile test that blasted a satellite and created thousands of pieces of potentially damaging debris. China also has robot satellites that can crush satellites, lasers that can disrupt satellites and cyber capabilities that can target space controls. Any tests or exercises involving these systems could be misperceived as impending attacks and set off a war.

To control such dangers, the Space Force is working on “responsible campaigning” — military jargon for limiting damaging space missile tests that could create dangerous debris. Brig. Gen. Brian D. Sidari, deputy chief of space operations for intelligence for the U.S. Space Command, said on a panel at this week’s conference that this is a particular problem with China. “The Chinese don’t believe what we say,” he said. “They believe what they see. So you have to do operations to ensure they know the boundaries of what’s going on.”

Space Force chief: Rapid capability delivery essential to maintaining dominance

U.S. Space Force Gen. B. Chance Saltzman, chief of Space Operations, speaks during a hearing of the Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces to examine U.S. Space Force programs in review of the Fiscal Year 2024 Defense Authorization Request, Tuesday, March 14, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ** FILE **

U.S. Space Force Chief of Space Operations Gen. B. Chance Saltzman asserted during a keynote address at this week’s Air, Space & Cyber Conference that “developing and delivering space warfighting capability” is a “vital part” of the service’s DNA. “The time has come for us to focus on enhancing the speed and effectiveness of our deliveries,” he said. “Because if we fall behind, the Joint Force and the nation will feel the consequences.”

The general said the focus on the speedy delivery of capabilities is already generating successes. He pointed to the launch of the Space Development Agency’s “Tranche 1” proliferated architecture. A Space Development Agency statement earlier this month said the satellite constellation will consist of 154 operational space vehicles, including 126 transport layer and 28 tracking layer space vehicles, “plus four missile defense demonstration SVs, equipped with optical communications terminals and Ka-band radio frequency receive/transmit capability.”

Gen. Saltzman touted the launch of two state-of-the-art GPS satellites over the past year, saying it previously took the Space Force almost two years to prepare and launch similar satellites, and “now it takes us only three months. He emphasized how intense and consequential conflicts, such as the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, demonstrate the need for rapid capabilities delivery.

Opinion: Sweden's Gripen fighter jet is one of the most formidable produced in Europe

NATO member Sweden illustration by Alexander Hunter/The Washington Times

Sweden is one of the “more impressive defense spenders in NATO and recently announced a defense budget of 2.8% of gross domestic product for 2026, expecting to reach 3.1% by 2028,” writes Wilson Beaver, who notes that Sweden made the announcement “even before all NATO countries, except Spain, agreed to increase their core defense spending to 3.5% by 2035 in The Hague this summer.

“Sweden’s defense industrial base is one of the most impressive in NATO, and it’s also one of the major European producers of fighter jets,” Mr. Beaver, a senior policy adviser in the Allison Center for National Security at The Heritage Foundation, writes in an op-ed for The Times.

“The Gripen, produced by the Swedish defense company Saab, is one of the most formidable European fighter jets, comparable to the Eurofighter Typhoon and Dassault Rafale. The Gripen is leased by multiple countries, including Czechia, which recently extended its lease of 12 of the fighter jets until 2035,” he writes. “Gripen fighter jets recently saw combat for the first time and performed admirably as the Royal Thai Air Force employed them in response to Cambodian rocket attacks.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Sept. 25 — Building the Space Force We Need and the Intelligence to Support It, University of Texas at Austin’s Intelligence Studies Project

• Sept. 25 — Counterforce in Contemporary U.S. Nuclear Strategy, Advanced Nuclear Weapons Alliance

• Sept. 25-30 — U.N. General Assembly High-level Week 2025, United Nations

• Sept. 30 — Growing the Midwest Quantum Ecosystem, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Oct. 6 — Big Deal, Small Deal or No Deal? Possible Outcomes of a Trump-Xi Summit, Center for Strategic & International Studies

• Oct. 8 — Investing in the North Korean People: Broadening Access to Information in North Korea, Stimson Center

• Oct. 8 — Relearning Great Power Diplomacy: A Conversation with Wess Mitchell, Hudson Institute

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor is here to answer them.