Guillaume Ptak, The Times’ special correspondent based in Ukraine, explains in a new exclusive video report that Russia’s shift during recent months to “large-scale drone attacks” is overwhelming the Ukrainian military’s defenses, exposing a “dangerous gap” in Kyiv’s capabilities that will likely define the next phase of the more than three-year-old war.
Late last year, Russia launched about 2,000 drones monthly. Since then, that figure has more than doubled, according to a recent assessment that the Atlantic Council published by Mykola Bielieskov, a military analyst and research fellow at Ukraine’s National Institute for Strategic Studies.
Many of the drones now being used against Ukraine are produced domestically in Russia and have been enhanced with artificial intelligence navigation systems, video targeting and thermobaric warheads that have doubled their explosive payload to about 200 pounds. Russia’s shift toward full domestic production has been supported by Iranian technology transfers and, according to Ukrainian officials, has benefited from technical support from China and labor assistance from North Korea.
Beijing is accused of supplying critical components, and Pyongyang is reportedly preparing to send workers to drone manufacturing facilities in eastern Russia. As a result, Russia’s drone penetration rate into Ukrainian airspace has nearly tripled.