Iran has faced explosions at industrial centers, apartment complexes, an airport and an oil refinery, all during the month since Mr. Trump announced a ceasefire in the latest military clash between the Islamic republic and Israel.
At least four residential buildings have exploded since the beginning of July. Iranian officials insist each was the result of a gas leak, despite reporting to the contrary. One explosion rocked a housing complex for Iran’s Armed Forces Judicial Organization in Tehran, despite the complex not being connected to a gas grid.
There is speculation about Israeli involvement. While Israel has admitted that its intelligence connections in Iran are extensive and helped coordinate strikes last month, analysts say Iranian officials may be reluctant to publicly accuse Israel of sabotage, as such accusations could reignite the Iran-Israel war.
Janatan Sayeh, an Iran expert at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, tells Threat Status that the Iranian regime is in a “lose-lose” situation. “It’s either not Israel and the regime is incapable and incompetent when it comes to building infrastructure,” he said. “Or it is Israel and the regime doesn’t have the momentum or perhaps the power or will to call out Israel for its attack.”