Skip to content
Advertisement

The Washington Times

Threat Status for Tuesday, May 20, 2025. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang or

How close are the U.S. and Iran to a new nuclear deal? It depends on whom you ask. 

… President Trump late last week said the two nations are “very close.” But Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei cast doubt Tuesday on the likelihood of an agreement.

… The key issue remains Iran’s uranium enrichment. Iranian leaders say they’re not willing to give it up. U.S. officials say that any enrichment on Iranian soil is a danger.

… Mr. Trump has invited Pope Leo XIV to visit the White House and says the pontiff could play a key role in Ukraine-Russia peace talks.

… Britain, France and Canada threatened “concrete actions” against Israel over its actions in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank.

… Monday’s Supreme Court ruling means the president can cancel a special deportation amnesty for Venezuelan migrants.

… SpaceX acquired specialty radio frequency filter manufacturer Akoustis this month.

… A retired 4-star Navy admiral could face 30 years in prison after his conviction in a major bribery case.

… And Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te says he wants peace and dialogue with China, amid growing fears of a Chinese military move on the island democracy.

Did Trump move the needle on Russia-Ukraine peace?

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks to journalists after his phone talks with U.S. President Donald Trump at the Sirius Park of Science and Art outside Sochi, Russia, on Monday, May 19, 2025. (Vyacheslav Prokofyev, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)

Mr. Trump emerged from his two-hour phone call Monday with Russian President Vladimir Putin and said Moscow is prepared for “immediate peace talks.” Mr. Putin also said his country is “ready to begin work on a memorandum on a potential future peace treaty” with Kyiv.

The devil, of course, is in the details. Mr. Putin did not offer any clarity on whether he’s willing to move away from previous demands, including that Russia retain permanent control of captured Ukrainian territory or that Ukraine never be allowed to join NATO. And at key moments over the past several months, it has appeared that Russia is the biggest roadblock to peace.

Mr. Trump also spoke with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who seems to be back in the White House’s good graces. Mr. Zelenskyy said the U.S. must be prepared to impose new sanctions on Russia if it doesn’t agree to a ceasefire.

Sanctions or secondary tariffs on Russia’s lucrative oil exports remain an option for the Trump administration, should it want to exert real pressure on Mr. Putin’s government.

Inside the U.S.-UAE defense partnership

U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth speaks at the Al Udeid Air Base, Thursday, May 15, 2025, in Doha, Qatar. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ** FILE **

Military Correspondent Mike Glenn has all the details on the Pentagon’s recent designation of the United Arab Emirates as a “major defense partner” of the U.S. The partnership was made official during Mr. Trump’s visit to the wealthy Gulf state last week.

The Pentagon said the two nations “will explore a phased framework for advancing bilateral force readiness, interoperability, and innovation-driven collaboration.” The agreement is certainly a symbolic step forward for the U.S.-UAE partnership, which Washington views as a key piece of its broader effort to curb Iranian influence across the Middle East.

But there are also tangible developments. The agreement creates an initiative between the U.S. Defense Innovation Unit and the UAE’s Tawazun Council, the acquisition authority for the UAE military. The UAE also is joining the U.S. National Guard State Partnership Program. Its troops will partner with the Texas National Guard on a variety of military missions.

Trump's 'commerce over chaos' Middle East strategy

President Donald Trump talks before signing guest book at the Abrahamic Family House, Friday, May 16, 2025, in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

The president’s broader strategy for the region can be summed up easily: Prosperity and peace over the conflict and chaos that have plagued the region for generations. Susan Ferrechio has a deep dive on Mr. Trump’s push to bring peace to the region and solve long-running conflicts, while also securing major new business deals and financial investments.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the president’s recent Middle East trip brought in $2 trillion in pledged investments to the U.S. for new data centers and manufacturing plants, boosting U.S. jobs and economic growth.

The promise of economic growth seems to go hand in hand with the administration’s national security priorities in the Middle East. Mr. Trump even offered a brighter economic future to Iran, but only if the country agreed to his terms on a nuclear deal and ended its sponsorship of terrorism in the region. If not, he said he would bankrupt Tehran with crippling sanctions.

Judge rules Trump's attempted shutdown of USIP was illegal

The U.S. Institute of Peace building is seen, Monday, March 17, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana) **FILE **

It’s the latest twist in what’s been a story filled with drama, lawsuits and tense downtown Washington standoffs. The ruling from Judge Beryl A. Howell said that Mr. Trump’s attempt to fire the board of directors and shut down the U.S. Institute of Peace ran afoul of the law because the agency falls under the purview of Congress, not the executive branch.

USIP, established by Congress in the 1980s, was a top target of tech billionaire Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency. That included transferring the agency’s $500 million headquarters back to the General Services Administration and a general layoff of the agency’s 400 employees.

The Times’ Stephen Dinan has more details on what’s become one of the most intriguing subplots of the Trump administration’s first few months in power.

Opinion: Long past time for EU to stop Russian natural gas imports

European Union and Russian gas and energy imports illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

Russian oil and natural gas have long been crucial pieces of Europe’s energy supply. But those imports have allowed Moscow to exert “energy coercion” over the continent, and it’s time to stop them entirely.

That’s the case made by Mariusz Kaminski, a Polish member of the European Parliament and former interior minister in the country’s government when it was run by the Law and Justice Party. He argues in a new piece for The Washington Times that the European Union’s pledge to eliminate all Russian gas imports by 2027 is an overdue move.

“Gas flows with Russian pipelines, but so do underhanded deals and influences. The move limits Russia’s ability to impose its energy coercion to bully its neighbors,” he writes. “Europe is finally sending the right signal: It will no longer turn a blind eye to Russian aggression in exchange for artificially cheap fuel.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• May 20 — Saudi Arabia in 2025: Vision 2030 Progress Update and U.S.-Saudi Relations, Atlantic Council

• May 21 — AI and Intelligent Transformation of Organizations: An Insightful Conversation with Dr. Feiyu Xu, Stimson Center

• May 22 — U.S.-China Rivalry in the Middle East Conference, Hudson Institute

• May 30-June 1 — IISS Shangri-La Dialogue (Singapore), International Institute for Strategic Studies

• June 3 — CNAS 2025 National Security Conference | America’s Edge: Forging the Future, Center for a New American Security 

• June 25 — The New IC, Intelligence and National Security Alliance

Thanks for reading Threat Status. Don’t forget to share it with your friends, who can sign up here. And listen to our weekly podcast available here or wherever you get your podcasts.

If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.