China denies providing weapons to Russia, but “reportedly provides dual-use critical components, estimated at $300 million monthly, enabling Russia to produce munitions, tanks, armored vehicles, missiles and drones,” writes Joseph R. DeTrani, a former senior U.S. intelligence official and opinion contributor to Threat Status.
“China’s allied relationship with Russia, which invaded a sovereign and independent Ukraine, has adversely affected China’s credibility with the European Union and other countries,” writes Mr. DeTrani. “Foreign direct investment in China fell $168 billion in 2024. International companies are leaving China, and Chinese firms are moving money abroad for better returns.”
“Mr. Putin’s invasion of Ukraine could be the beginning of his effort to re-create the Russian empire. Although it’s in China’s interest to see an end to the war in Ukraine, it is not in China’s interest to maintain a close allied relationship with a revanchist Russian Federation,” he writes. “The impact on China’s economy and international credibility will be profound. Without China’s support, Russia will find it difficult, if not impossible, to persist with its invasion of Ukraine.”