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NATSEC-TECH THURSDAY — February 13, 2025: Every Thursday’s edition of Threat Status highlights the intersection between national security and advanced technology, from AI to cyber threats and the battle for global data dominance.

Share the daily Threat Status newsletter and the weekly NatSec-Tech Wrap with friends who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang or lead Tech Correspondent Ryan Lovelace.

The national security and tech worlds are bracing for President Trump’s expected move to place major tariffs, possibly up to 100%, on advanced semiconductor chips manufactured by Taiwan-based companies.

… Anduril founder Palmer Luckey has a plan to turn American soldiers into “superheroes.”

… Defense contractor L3Harris this week introduced new technology that it says will allow military commanders to control thousands of devices at the same time. 

… Newly confirmed Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard vowed to restore Americans’ trust in the intelligence community, while the CIA added Michael Ellis as its deputy director. 

… Vice President J.D. Vance delivered a clear message to this week’s AI summit in Paris: AI innovation is America’s top priority. Mr. Vance is now headed to the Munich Security Conference where he will meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Ahead of that conference, 28 people were injured in Munich on Thursday when an Afghan asylum-seeker reportedly drove a car into a crowd.

… The former CEO of Google warns that rogue states such as North Korea or Iran could use AI to “harm innocent people.”

… OpenAI has changed how it wants its models to behave. And the company’s CEO, Sam Altman, wants to take OpenAI’s models to China.  

… Elon Musk, meanwhile, has indicated he would withdraw his $97.4 billion bid to purchase OpenAI — if the firm agreed to abandon plans to become a for-profit company.

… And Mr. Musk’s Tesla is forecast to win a $400 million contract from the State Department, even as the tech billionaire and his Department of Government Efficiency are scrutinizing the entire federal government.

Taiwan's chip dominance: Trump's next target?

A person walks into the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., headquarters in Hsinchu, Taiwan on Oct. 20, 2021. (AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying, File)

The national security and tech worlds are watching for what could be a seismic move by Mr. Trump: tariffs of up to 100% on advanced microchips made by Taiwan-based companies. The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) has what critics say is a monopoly on the production of the semiconductor chips that power smartphones and are indispensable for market-leading companies such as Apple and Nvidia.

Threat Status has a deep dive on the issue, explaining the numerous national security concerns swirling around Taiwan as the epicenter of global semiconductor chip production, including fears that a military move against Taiwan by communist China could cut off America’s access to those vital chips.

Under President Biden, the U.S. offered major financial incentives to TSMC to bring some of its production to American shores, including $6.6 billion to build an advanced semiconductor fabrication plant in Arizona. But Mr. Trump said the company doesn’t need money from American taxpayers, and the prospect of prohibitive tariffs is a better way.

“They didn’t need money. They needed an incentive. And the incentive is going to be they’re not going to want to pay a 25, 50 or even a 100% tax,” Mr. Trump told congressional Republicans recently.

He could formally announce the tariffs within days. 

Judge OKs Trump's federal workers buyout plan

President Donald Trump speaks as Tulsi Gabbard is sworn in as the Director of National Intelligence in the Oval Office of the White House, Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2025, in Washington. (Photo/Alex Brandon)

Mr. Trump’s plan to downsize and remake the federal government got a major boost late Wednesday when a federal judge in Boston denied a workers’ union request to block the White House’s massive buyout offer for federal workers. The ruling clears the way — for now at least — for the Trump administration to proceed with its buyout offer for up to 2 million federal employees.

The move could have serious ramifications across the Defense Department and other key arms of the government with a direct role in the intersection of technology and national security. About 65,000 federal employees accepted the buyout offer, which provides eight months of pay and benefits to those who take it.

The buyout plan is a central component of the push by Mr. Trump and Mr. Musk to dramatically reshape the U.S. federal government by cutting the workforce, slashing budgets and shrinking agencies. The president told reporters on Wednesday he is working closely with the DOGE team, led by Mr. Musk and a dozen workers whom the president called “12 geniuses,” to cut wasteful federal spending. 

How to turn a soldier into a superhero

This image provided by Anduril Industries shows a rendering of a manufacturing facility Anduril Industries is preparing to build in central Ohio state officials announced Thursday, Jan. 16, 2025.(Anduril Industries via AP)

Anduril and Microsoft are poised to take over a key Army program that could help turn soldiers into superheroes.

The two companies announced they will oversee the Pentagon’s Integrated Visual Augmentation System program. The multibillion-dollar IVAS initiative is meant to give soldiers new wearable systems combining augmented and virtual reality tools to increase combat effectiveness, survivability against drones and accelerate command of unmanned systems.

Anduril founder Palmer Lucky went into more detail in a blog post

“The IVAS program — one of the most important programs to the Army — represents just the beginnings of a new path in human augmentation, one that will allow America’s warfighters to surpass the limitations of human form and cognition, seamlessly teaming enhanced humans with large packs of robotic and biologic teammates,” he wrote. 

Russia gets cybercrime kingpin in prisoner swap with America

A Russian man identified as Alexander Vinnik, center, is escorted by police officers from the courthouse at the northern Greek city of Thessaloniki, in this Friday, Sept. 29, 2017, file photo. Vinnick, convicted of laundering $160 million in criminal proceeds through a cryptocurrency exchange, was currently imprisoned in France. (AP Photo/Giannis Papanikos, File)

We have new details about the price the U.S. paid to get American teacher Marc Fogel back home. A senior Trump administration official confirmed to The Washington Times that the Trump administration traded Russian cybercrime kingpin Alexander Vinnik for Mr. Fogel’s release.

The Times’ Jeff Mordock and Mallory Wilson have more details here about the deal itself, which Mr. Trump described as “very fair.” As part of the agreement, Vinnik will leave behind $100 million worth of digital assets.

Vinnik was arrested in Greece in 2017 and ultimately extradited to the U.S. to stand trial on charges of money laundering and fraud. He pleaded guilty to “money laundering conspiracy” last May, according to the Justice Department.

The charges stem from his time heading BTC-e, a cryptocurrency exchange that he led from 2011 to 2017 that handled over $9 billion in transactions. Vinnik didn’t register BTC-e as a money service business despite having a large U.S. clientele, authorities said. The Justice Department used his case as an example of the efforts to combat cryptocurrency fraud across the globe. In its May press release, federal prosecutors said that Vinnik “operated BTC-e with the intent to promote these unlawful activities and was responsible for a loss amount of at least $121 million.”

Opinion: America needs its own sovereign tech fund

A U.S. sovereign technology fund illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

To keep pace with adversaries such as China, the U.S. needs a new “sovereign technology fund and agency” funded by major corporations to invest in new technologies and infrastructure. 

That’s the argument from Andrew King, a managing partner at Bastille Venture who advises the House Select Committee on China, in a new op-ed for The Times. Mr. King writes that the “bold yet necessary step” would put the U.S. in a much stronger position by changing the incentive structure for long-term investments critical to national security.

“The proposed Sovereign Tech Fund addresses the critical issue of investment horizons. Private investors are constrained by the need for quick returns, but strategic industries require patience and long-term commitment,” he writes. “By accepting longer payback periods, the fund can invest in transformative projects that private capital overlooks. This approach is essential for regaining leadership in semiconductors — a $550 billion global industry — as well as advancing in space exploration and artificial intelligence.”

Threat Status Events Radar

• Feb. 14-16 — Munich Security Conference, MSC 2025

• Feb. 17-21 — International Defense Exhibition and Conference (IDEX) 2025, United Arab Emirates

• Feb. 18 — The role of AI in transforming Saudi Arabia’s economic landscape, Atlantic Council 

• Feb. 19 — Globalizing perspectives on AI safety, Brookings Institution

• Feb. 26 — 2025 Defense Software & Data Summit, Govini

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