As an AP basketball poll voter, I received a friendly reminder from the powers that be to consider results (especially head-to-head results) while filling out my ballot while discounting name value and preseason hype as the season commences.
Most people voting in such matters shouldn’t need such a reminder, but it is nice to see some suggested guidelines.
SEE RELATED:That said, chances are not very good that I’ll change my mind on just about anyone in the top 40 or so based on the first weekend of play.
This is mainly because of two things.
1) A lot of teams look shaky in an opener while working the kinks out.
2) Just about no national power plays anyone of much repute in its opener.
Think about the early upsets last year —- Southern Cal to Mercer, Kentucky to Gardner-Webb. Those matchups are perfectly typical.
Here, by the way, is a rundown of the preseason top 25, their season-opening opponents and those opponents’ RPI from last year. There’s quite a trend (NA-Non-Division I team last season):
No. Team |
Opening Opponent |
‘08 RPI |
1. North Carolina |
Penn | 261 |
2. Connecticut |
Western Carolina |
293 |
3. Louisville |
Morehead State |
232 |
4. UCLA |
Prairie View A&M |
321 |
5. Pittsburgh |
Fairleigh Dickinson |
282 |
6. Michigan St. |
Idaho | 299 |
7. Texas |
Stetson | 257 |
8. Duke |
Presbyterian | 333 |
9. Notre Dame |
USC Upstate |
306 |
10. Gonzaga |
Montana St.-BillingsĀ |
NA |
11. Purdue |
Detroit | 287 |
12. Oklahoma |
American | 91 |
13. Memphis |
Fairfield | 176 |
14. Tennessee |
Chattanooga | 146 |
15. Arizona St. |
Mississippi Valley St. |
223 |
16. Marquette |
Houston Baptist |
NA |
17. Miami |
Florida Southern |
NA |
18. Southern Cal |
UC Irvine |
152 |
19. Florida |
Toledo | 187 |
20. Davidson |
Guilford | NA |
21. Wake Forest |
N.C. Central |
279 |
22. Georgetown |
Jacksonville | 164 |
23. Villanova |
Albany |
206 |
24. Kansas |
Mo.-Kansas City |
288 |
25. Wisconsin |
Long Beach State |
323 |
That precisely one team in the top 25 opening with a top-100 team from last year (Oklahoma, which plays host to American). Only two play an NCAA tournament team from last season (Oklahoma and Arizona State). Just six bother with a top-200 program from a year ago.
Sure, college basketball begins next week, but you’d be foolish to expect to see much of anything in the season’s first few days.
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